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2025 Kentucky Derby: American Promise Odds, Picks & Predictions

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The Kentucky Derby is one of the most prestigious and highly anticipated events in the world of horse racing. Held annually on the first Saturday in May, the Kentucky Derby attracts horse racing enthusiasts from all over the world. The Derby is a 1 1/4 mile race for three-year-old thoroughbreds and is often referred to as “the most exciting two minutes in sports.” Let's take a look at the odds for one of the horses competing in the 150th Run for the Roses: American Promise.

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2025 Kentucky Derby Profile & Predictions: American Promise

  • Name: American Promise
  • Post Position: 5
  • Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
  • Jockey: Nik Juarez
  • Owner: BC Stables LLC
  • Breeder: Candy Meadows LLC (Kentucky)
  • Sire: Justify
  • Dam: Tapella (by Tapit)
  • Color: Chestnut
  • Career Record: 9 starts: 2 wins, 1 second, 1 third
  • Earnings: $444,874
  • Top Beyer Speed Figure: 95 (achieved twice)
  • Top Equibase Speed Figure: 104
  • Derby Qualifying Points: 55
  • Odds: 30-1

American Promise enters the Kentucky Derby as a late-blooming contender with a strong pedigree. After breaking his maiden in his sixth start at Oaklawn Park, he delivered a standout performance in the Grade 3 Virginia Derby, winning by 73/4 lengths and setting a track record for 11/8 miles at Colonial Downs. This victory secured him 50 Derby qualifying points.

Trained by Hall of Famer D. Wayne Lukas, American Promise is a stalker who prefers to press the pace. His recent workouts have been impressive, including a five-furlong breeze in 59 seconds, indicating he’s in peak form leading into the Derby.

American Promise is considered a longshot in the Derby field. However, his strong pedigree-being a son of Triple Crown winner Justify and out of a Tapit mare-suggests he has the stamina for the 11/4-mile distance. His recent form and impressive workouts make him an intriguing option for exotic bets like trifectas and superfectas.

Bet: Use in Exotics

Post Horse Trainer Name Jockey Name Odds
1 Citizen Bull Bob Baffert Martin Garcia 20-1
2 Neoequos Saffie Joseph Jr. Flavien Prat 30-1
3 Final Gambit Brad H. Cox Luan Machado 30-1
4 Rodriguez Bob Baffert Mike E. Smith 12-1
5 American Promise D. Wayne Lukas Nik Juarez 30-1
6 Admire Daytona Yukihiro Kato Christophe Lemaire 30-1
7 Luxor Cafe Noriyuki Hori João Moreira 15-1
8 Journalism Michael W. McCarthy Umberto Rispoli 3-1
9 Burnham Square Ian R. Wilkes Brian Hernandez Jr. 12-1
10 Grande Todd A. Pletcher John R. Velazquez 20-1
11 Flying Mohawk Whit Beckman Joe Ramos 30-1
12 East Avenue Brendan P. Walsh Manny Franco 20-1
13 Publisher Steven M. Asmussen Irad Ortiz Jr. 20-1
14 Tiztastic Steven M. Asmussen Joel Rosario 20-1
15 Render Judgement Kenneth G. McPeek Julien Leparoux 30-1
16 Coal Battle Lonnie Briley Juan Vargas 30-1
17 Sandman Mark E. Casse José Ortiz 6-1
18 Sovereignty William I. Mott Junior Alvarado 5-1
19 Chunk of Gold Ethan West Jareth Loveberry 30-1
20 Owen Almighty Brian A. Lynch Javier Castellano 30-1
21 (AE) Baeza John Shirreffs Flavien Prat 12-1

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